Beijing Escalates with Second Round of Missile Tests and Naval Exercises

Defense Analysis Team news

Beijing Escalates with Second Round of Missile Tests and Naval Exercises

Beijing dramatically escalated its military intimidation campaign against Taiwan on August 15-25, 1995, with a second round of missile tests accompanied by the PLA Navy’s largest exercises in the Taiwan Strait since the 1950s.

Expanded Military Operations

Missile Component

  • Four more DF-15 missiles fired
  • Target area: East of Taiwan in Pacific Ocean
  • Demonstrated ability to bracket the island
  • Implicit threat to shipping lanes
  • Over 40 vessels participated
  • Simulated blockade operations
  • Anti-submarine warfare drills
  • Amphibious assault preparations

Air Operations

  • Fighter sweeps near median line
  • Bomber flights from mainland bases
  • Electronic warfare missions
  • Helicopter assault exercises

Strategic Messaging

The coordinated operations sent multiple messages:

To Taiwan

“Your democracy cannot protect you from military force”

  • Elections won’t change strategic reality
  • Economic prosperity depends on Beijing’s goodwill
  • International support has limits

To United States

“We will fight to prevent Taiwan independence”

  • Testing U.S. intervention threshold
  • Demonstrating improved PLA capabilities
  • Warning against security guarantees

To Region

“China’s rise includes military dimension”

  • Challenging U.S. security architecture
  • Asserting regional dominance
  • Warning against supporting Taiwan

Democratic Taiwan’s Response

Military Readiness

  • Forces placed on highest alert
  • Air defense systems activated
  • Naval patrols increased
  • Civil defense preparations initiated

Political Unity

Democracy showed remarkable cohesion:

  • All major parties condemned Beijing
  • Legislative campaign continued normally
  • No calls for appeasement
  • Increased defense budget support

Public Resilience

  • Tourism declined but no panic
  • Stock market volatility managed
  • Media coverage remained free
  • Civil society organized support rallies

International Escalation

U.S. Response

Clinton administration took measured steps:

  • Nimitz carrier group moved closer
  • Private diplomatic warnings intensified
  • Public statements carefully calibrated
  • Congress demanded stronger response

Japanese Concerns

  • Defense Agency raised readiness
  • Concerns about refugee flows
  • Economic disruption fears
  • U.S. base importance reinforced

ASEAN Worries

  • Called for peaceful resolution
  • Feared regional instability
  • Economic impacts assessed
  • Quiet diplomatic initiatives

Authoritarian Escalation Logic

Beijing’s actions reflected authoritarian decision-making:

  1. Doubling Down - When initial intimidation fails, increase pressure
  2. Face Saving - Cannot appear weak after threats
  3. Internal Politics - PLA hardliners demanding action
  4. Information Control - Domestic audience sees only strength

Economic Warfare Intensifies

Beyond military threats:

Trade Pressures

  • Key Taiwan exports delayed at customs
  • Investment projects suspended
  • Business leaders pressed to lobby Taipei
  • Tourism restrictions imposed

Financial Markets

  • Taiwan dollar under pressure
  • Foreign investment slowing
  • Credit ratings reviewed
  • Regional market contagion

Miscalculating Democracy

Beijing’s authoritarian lens created blind spots:

Expected Results

  • Voters would choose safety over democracy
  • Business pressure would force policy change
  • U.S. would prioritize China relationship
  • Regional states would abandon Taiwan

Actual Outcomes

  • Rally-around-flag effect in Taiwan
  • Increased international sympathy
  • U.S. military planning accelerated
  • Regional concerns about China grew

Media Coverage Contrast

Taiwan’s Free Press

  • Detailed military analysis
  • Diverse opinion pieces
  • Government criticism allowed
  • International perspectives shared

China’s State Media

  • Uniform propaganda message
  • No questioning of policy
  • Military glorification
  • Taiwan demonization

Preparing for Further Escalation

Signs pointed to continued crisis:

  • PLA units remaining mobilized
  • Propaganda campaign intensifying
  • Diplomatic isolation efforts increasing
  • March 1996 presidential election looming

Historical Significance

The August 1995 exercises demonstrated:

  1. New Era - Military coercion as standard tool against Taiwan
  2. Democracy Tested - Free society under authoritarian pressure
  3. Regional Impact - Cross-strait tension affects all Asia
  4. Systemic Clash - Incompatibility of political systems

Beijing’s military escalation revealed the fundamental challenge: an authoritarian regime attempting to coerce a democratic society into submission, failing to understand that military threats often strengthen rather than weaken democratic resolve.

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