Beijing Escalates with Second Round of Missile Tests and Naval Exercises
Beijing Escalates with Second Round of Missile Tests and Naval Exercises
Beijing dramatically escalated its military intimidation campaign against Taiwan on August 15-25, 1995, with a second round of missile tests accompanied by the PLA Navy’s largest exercises in the Taiwan Strait since the 1950s.
Expanded Military Operations
Missile Component
- Four more DF-15 missiles fired
- Target area: East of Taiwan in Pacific Ocean
- Demonstrated ability to bracket the island
- Implicit threat to shipping lanes
Naval Exercises
- Over 40 vessels participated
- Simulated blockade operations
- Anti-submarine warfare drills
- Amphibious assault preparations
Air Operations
- Fighter sweeps near median line
- Bomber flights from mainland bases
- Electronic warfare missions
- Helicopter assault exercises
Strategic Messaging
The coordinated operations sent multiple messages:
To Taiwan
“Your democracy cannot protect you from military force”
- Elections won’t change strategic reality
- Economic prosperity depends on Beijing’s goodwill
- International support has limits
To United States
“We will fight to prevent Taiwan independence”
- Testing U.S. intervention threshold
- Demonstrating improved PLA capabilities
- Warning against security guarantees
To Region
“China’s rise includes military dimension”
- Challenging U.S. security architecture
- Asserting regional dominance
- Warning against supporting Taiwan
Democratic Taiwan’s Response
Military Readiness
- Forces placed on highest alert
- Air defense systems activated
- Naval patrols increased
- Civil defense preparations initiated
Political Unity
Democracy showed remarkable cohesion:
- All major parties condemned Beijing
- Legislative campaign continued normally
- No calls for appeasement
- Increased defense budget support
Public Resilience
- Tourism declined but no panic
- Stock market volatility managed
- Media coverage remained free
- Civil society organized support rallies
International Escalation
U.S. Response
Clinton administration took measured steps:
- Nimitz carrier group moved closer
- Private diplomatic warnings intensified
- Public statements carefully calibrated
- Congress demanded stronger response
Japanese Concerns
- Defense Agency raised readiness
- Concerns about refugee flows
- Economic disruption fears
- U.S. base importance reinforced
ASEAN Worries
- Called for peaceful resolution
- Feared regional instability
- Economic impacts assessed
- Quiet diplomatic initiatives
Authoritarian Escalation Logic
Beijing’s actions reflected authoritarian decision-making:
- Doubling Down - When initial intimidation fails, increase pressure
- Face Saving - Cannot appear weak after threats
- Internal Politics - PLA hardliners demanding action
- Information Control - Domestic audience sees only strength
Economic Warfare Intensifies
Beyond military threats:
Trade Pressures
- Key Taiwan exports delayed at customs
- Investment projects suspended
- Business leaders pressed to lobby Taipei
- Tourism restrictions imposed
Financial Markets
- Taiwan dollar under pressure
- Foreign investment slowing
- Credit ratings reviewed
- Regional market contagion
Miscalculating Democracy
Beijing’s authoritarian lens created blind spots:
Expected Results
- Voters would choose safety over democracy
- Business pressure would force policy change
- U.S. would prioritize China relationship
- Regional states would abandon Taiwan
Actual Outcomes
- Rally-around-flag effect in Taiwan
- Increased international sympathy
- U.S. military planning accelerated
- Regional concerns about China grew
Media Coverage Contrast
Taiwan’s Free Press
- Detailed military analysis
- Diverse opinion pieces
- Government criticism allowed
- International perspectives shared
China’s State Media
- Uniform propaganda message
- No questioning of policy
- Military glorification
- Taiwan demonization
Preparing for Further Escalation
Signs pointed to continued crisis:
- PLA units remaining mobilized
- Propaganda campaign intensifying
- Diplomatic isolation efforts increasing
- March 1996 presidential election looming
Historical Significance
The August 1995 exercises demonstrated:
- New Era - Military coercion as standard tool against Taiwan
- Democracy Tested - Free society under authoritarian pressure
- Regional Impact - Cross-strait tension affects all Asia
- Systemic Clash - Incompatibility of political systems
Beijing’s military escalation revealed the fundamental challenge: an authoritarian regime attempting to coerce a democratic society into submission, failing to understand that military threats often strengthen rather than weaken democratic resolve.