Key West Talks: Near-Breakthrough in Direct Negotiations

WarEcho Team news

Presidents Aliyev and Kocharyan meet in Key West, Florida, reportedly coming close to agreement on conflict resolution

Armenian President Robert Kocharyan and Azerbaijani President Heydar Aliyev met for direct talks in Key West, Florida, hosted by the US State Department, reportedly coming closer to agreement than ever before.

High-Level Engagement

The talks featured:

  • Direct presidential negotiations
  • US Secretary of State hosting
  • Informal atmosphere
  • Extended discussions
  • Serious compromise explored

Reported Framework

Though never confirmed, reportedly discussed:

  • Land swap proposals
  • Horizontal linkage concepts
  • Security arrangements
  • Refugee return modalities
  • Status determination process

Near-Agreement

Sources suggested:

  • 80% of issues resolved
  • Presidents showed flexibility
  • Creative solutions explored
  • Momentum building

Why No Deal

Obstacles:

  • Final status disagreements
  • Domestic opposition feared
  • Military establishments resistant
  • Public unprepared
  • Details disputed

Kocharyan’s Dilemma

  • New to presidency
  • Hardliner reputation
  • Military backing crucial
  • Ter-Petrosyan’s fate remembered

Aliyev’s Calculations

  • Veteran leader
  • Health declining
  • Legacy concerns
  • Son’s succession planned

Aftermath

  • Talks continued
  • But momentum lost
  • Positions hardened again
  • October parliament shooting

Historical Assessment

Key West represented:

  • Closest to agreement
  • Personal diplomacy peak
  • Missed opportunity
  • Never replicated

Lessons

  • Leadership crucial
  • Timing matters
  • Domestic constraints binding
  • External mediation limited
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